2010 ஜனவரி 27ல் இலங்கையின் 6வது ஜனாதிபதி ஜெனரல் சரத் பொன்சேகாவா? : த ஜெயபாலன்

What a tactical analysis to cheat tamil voters to block the votes that will go to Sarath Fonseka. He is trying to establish the following relationship. If Jaffna tamils vote for Fonseka, Rajapakse will win and if If Jaffna tamils vote for Rajapakse, then Fonseka will win. TNF is supporting to Fonseka, so tamils votes go to Fonseka, So Rajapakse will win.
The conclusion from the analysis if tamils want Fonseka to win, you should vote for Rajapakse.
We should look at the population distribution between provinces. according tp 1981 cinsus, Sri Lankan tamils in Trinco 34%, Ampara has 20%, Vavuniya 57%, Mannar 51% Mullaitivu 75%, Batticaloa 71% and Jaffna 95%. So, you would expect other provinces behaviour should be different to Jaffna.
If you look at the statistics you see that in North-East around 8% votes go to SLFP except 2004. UNP gets 9-10% except 1994 irrespective of Jaffan tamils vote for SLFP or UNP. Out of the first 4 presidential elections,More votes polled for SLFP than UNP. First Two won by UNP and Second two won by SLFP.
Tamils are not fools to be cheated by Rajapakse lovers. It is no matter who wins the election, tamils should reject Rajapakse company who were responsible for the destruction of the whole country.

வட-கிழக்கில் இருந்து இருபது சீன டாங்கிகள் , கொழும்பு சென்றதாக ஜெனரல். சரத் பொன்சேகா கூறியுள்ளார். இது பல சந்தேகங்களை சொல்கிறது. சரத் வென்றால், கோட்டபயாவின் கஜபா அணியினர் ,அவரை கைது செய்யும் நிலை உருவாகலாம் என்று சொல்லப்படுகிறது. இருபது டாங்கிகள் போதும் விமானநிலையம், தொலைகாட்சி நிலையம், அதிபர் மாளிகை, போன்றவற்றை பிடிக்க. இதுபோல் பல நாடுகளில் இத்தகைய இராணுவ சதிபுரட்சிகள் நடந்துள்ளன.

//வட-கிழக்கில் இருந்து இருபது சீன டாங்கிகள் , கொழும்பு சென்றதாக ஜெனரல். சரத் பொன்சேகா கூறியுள்ளார்.- ANWAR //

உண்மையில் யுத்தம் முடிவுற்றதால், வடபகுதியிலிருந்து கனரக டாங்கிகள் இராணுவத் தலைமையகத்திற்கு கொண்டு வரப்படுகினன்றன. இதை சரத்போன்சேகா தனக்குச் சாதகமாகப் பயன்படுத்தி அனுதாபம் தேடப் பார்க்கின்றார் என்பதே உண்மை. உண்மையில் மகிந்தவின் வெற்றி உறுதியானதென கொழும்புச் செய்திகள் கூறுகின்றன. அப்படியிருக்க இப்படியாவது அனுதாப வாக்குகளை பெற முடியாதா என சரத் முயல்வது ஆச்சரியமான ஒன்றல்ல.

Nantha
காசு கொடுத்து சம்பந்தனை விலைக்கு வாங்கலாம். ஹகீமை வாங்கலாம். மற்றவர்கள்?
Why not?
Don’t think that all our brains are dead? It is the Rajapakse who bought a sunk of MPs including UNP, JVP, CWC, Muslim Congress, Douglas and so on at the expense of Sri Lanka taxpayers money. Every one was given ministerial posts?
Do you think you cannot by all these MPs for money? Don’t think it is only Rajapakse should spend our money to buy MPs and bulid palaces for Rajapakse family? At least Sarath Fonseka is better, he is spending his own money. If Rajapakse wins the election, the whole country become part of India, and every citizen should be in the streets begging for their food.

Did you prove that Sampathan and Hakeem were paid money by Fonseka? It is the fact that ministerial posts were given to those who crossed over to Government. What else you need to prove. There are 132 ministers in the parliament in Sri Lanka. Even after presidential election was announced two UNP members crossed over to Government and got ministerial posts. It is sad to see that former President Chandrika finally gave her support to Sarath Fonseka. Even she realised that Rajapakse was a threat to nation.

Eelam Peoples Democratic Party General Secretary and Minister Douglas Devananda has denied the news published that an agreement is made with the government.

Much news items were published that to support President Mahinda Rajapakse at the forthcoming presidential election, an agreement was made with the government. But such allegations are baseless was stated by Minister Doughlas Devananda, which was quoted in the Government Information Department’s website.

He said even during the past or in the future such agreements were not made with the government. He said he has the confidence that the Government would understand the Tamil people’s aspiration and the necessities and more than documents trust is important was mentioned by him

Dear Readers,
We all very enthusiastic readers and opinion makers. I came across many thoughtful analysis by many. I would like to forecast the election result.

Who will win; President MR
Majority- Not thin, more than 10 lakhs
What is the base for this forecast;
Political reasons; The unofficial alliance of UNP, JVP, SLMC, Section of TNA, and Mano Ganeshan-very weak alliance.

Traditional supporters of the UNP are not in favour of UNP becoming friendly to JVP.They believe UNP is singularly strong party in our country.They hate JVP. Likewise JVPers have been brainwashed by the slogans of imperialism, capitalism and so on. As far as JVP ers are concerned there prime political enemy in this country is UNP. They hate UNP.
Then TNA. People are aware till the last episode of Mullivaikal on 19th May TNA was shouting that the SL security forces were killing Tamil people in thousands.They were telling these lies to invite the interference of the western powers to protect LTTE leadership and LTTE. (The writer belives innocent people were killed during the last days of the military operation, but not to the extent of the TNA’s estimates.

The question is whether the Sinhalsese people would welcome the TNA which supports SF-The answer is -No.
Same approach is applicable to Mano Ganesh who was very active in Pongu Tamil comics. He could muster support from upper class Tamil society in the western province.Upper class Tamils never thought about ordinary Tamil people, they were always supporting UNP-Tamils votes in western province would not make any difference in the over all result.

SLMC was enjoying considerable support in the east. Now it is not very strong. Muslim people in the east were subject to many many injustice under the LTTE.The same support SLMC enjoyed earlier cant be expected this time.
Other reasons
Some sections of the UNP is also not happy about this alliance.At the ame time they are aware of SF’s personal qualities.UNP ers may not have the repect they would otherwise enjoy under a UNP president.
What about North and east Tamil peole-Karuna, Sivanesathurai back MR. Both candidates may get equal votes. SLMC and TNA factors could help SF to get little more than MR
North-Particularly jaffna people have started to think differently-That means they are no more following the TNA’s guidance.They understood they were fooled by the Ealam promise and so on.The North-south link after more than 2 decades made many openings to them. However overall northern province-SF could get little more than MR.

What is MR strength-In six provinces MR will get sweeping result-MR may get nearly 1.5 million more than SF
Reasons- People believe MR is responsible as the leader of the country for wiping out terror and reestablished peace and linked north and south.People are enjoying the benefits.People belive president as Commander in Chief is solely responsible for the peace not the Commander of the army.They respecxt SF.That does not mean they respect him more than MR.
Peopel are very sick of high cost of living,corruption and waste and particularly the jumbo cabinet.They know the history of both major parties when they ruled the country.They are not bothered about the cross overs even.But these issues are not going to reduce MR support base..They understand SL is the only country in the world which completely destroyed a powerful terror group and terrorism.If Sri Lankans failed to honour the leader responsible for it,they understand the whole world would laugh at them.
Plantation sector-Arumugam Thondamam is still a force, but not like the Senior Thondaman.

This analysis is made under following presumtion;
The Sinhalese people are politically matured than other ethnic groups.If we follow from 1970 May election,madam sirimao promised rice from moon, 1977 election JR promised 8 Kg grains.Both parties mainly promised economic benefits.
Sinhalese are not communal.
Northern Tamils-They can be easily fooled by emotional speeches.Tamil ealam,vaddukoddai resolution, and so on.GG made 50/50 slogan.Further Tamil leaders used to tell the jaffna Tamils that the Sinhalese leaders of the UNP and SLFP always speaking in their meetings how to destroy Tamil people.It is very unfortunate jaffna Tamil people belived all these.That is why the so called freedom fighters were able to purchase their support in the beginning.
East-Generally the tamils in east followed what the northerners did.But now they seemed to understand the foolishness of following the north blindly.
East Muslims. As the popular writer MrBashher wrote in his articles,SLMC made a little bit of Islam to their political campaign.Muslim people are not ready to support traditional Tamil parties and their views.But they want to live with their Tamil brothers in unity,as they have done before the birth of the so called freedom fighters.
I welcome views on my forecast.

Mahina gave Rs. 180 million to the LTTE through Basil, charges Tiran Alles
National organizer of the SLFP Mahajana Wing Tiran Alles says Basil Rajapaksa personally handed over, at his office, Rs. 180 million to the then LTTE financial controller Emil Kanthan to ensure that the people of the north refrained from voting at the 2005 presidential election.

Mr. Alles added that the deal took place at the request of the then presidential candidate Mahinda Rajapaksa.

Speaking to the media at his Koswatte home yesterday (24th) that was attacked by UPFA goons two days ago, Mr. Alles said he first came to know Emil Kanthan, then an employee of the Ministry of Rehabilitation, in 2002 when Parliamentarian Dr. Jayalath Jayawardena introduced him.

Following a request by the then Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa to introduce him to a person capable of doing a deal with the LTTE, Mr. Allas said he had introduced Emil Kanthan to Basil Rajapaksa.

After Emil Kanthan was told that Basil Rajapaksa wanted to meet him on behalf of Mahinda Rajapaksa, a meeting was held at Mr. Alles’ office. After several such discussions between the two, one day Basil Rajapaksa wanted to know from Emil Kanthan what sort of support the LTTE wanted from the premier to strengthen their link.

After consulting the LTTE leadership, Emil Kanthan had come back and said the outfit wanted Rs. 180 million to buy boats. Mr. Basil Rajapaksa said they only wanted the LTTE to get the people of the north to boycott the presidential polls.

The money sought by Emil Kanthan was handed over a few days later in dollars, given by a neighbouring country for the presidential campaign, and rupee notes said Mr. Alles.

He said he had revealed all these in his statement to the TID in 2007 subsequent to his arrest by them, and as a result the attorney general had withdrawn all charges against him. Speaking further, Mr. Alles said he had informed president Rajapaksa on February 14, 2007 about all these through a sworn affidavit signed by Ven. Uduwe Dhammaloka Thera who supports the president.

Mr. Alles said he was now compelled to expose Mr. Mahinda Rajapaksa’s deal with the LTTE as the president and Mr. Basil Rajapaksa were attempting to kill him, the first such attempt being the grenade attack on his home.

Mahinda 53%

I ASKED THE QUESTION. FIRST YOU PROVE YOUR POINTS. A QUESTION IS NOT AN ANSWER TO A QUESTION.
Further “cross” overs are part of the democratic process but sambanthan’s suport to Fonseka? On what principles of Thamil Arasu Kadchi if not for money?// Natha

Mr, Nantha
I commented on your statements. Are you withdrawung your statements?
Where did you study that cross overs are of the democratic processs. You didn;t expalin why you need 132 ministers. don’t you understand the democratic principles, once again you are contradicting and not coming to the point. The first sentence you say cross overs are democratic process and then you ask on what principle Sampathan support Fonseka?

இந்த 180 million பணத்தையும் வாங்கி புலி என்ன செய்தது??
போன லெக்சனுக்கு கொடுத்ததை இந்த லெக்சகனுக்கு சொல்லுறீங்கள் லெக்சன் வந்திராட்டி சொல்லியிருக்கவும் மாட்டியளோ?